Posts

Istanbul, Trust, and the Discipline of Long-Horizon Investing

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  I have just come back from Istanbul. Istanbul is unforgettable, in part due to its geography. Europe and Asia face each other across the water, close enough to feel connected yet distinct enough to highlight that borders, systems, and identities are less fixed than we often assume. The warm weather and vibrant city life made it impossible to ignore Istanbul’s many layers: old empires, modern infrastructure, religious history, financial ambition, and daily activity all coexist. It was an apt setting to discuss an increasingly complex world. Although the conference focused on sustainable finance, my main concerns were broader: trust, fragmentation, and the responsibilities of long-horizon investors. One of the opening questions was deceptively simple: beneficiaries trust us completely, yet often understand little of what we do on their behalf. What does it truly mean to earn that trust? I think about that question a lot. For asset owners, trust is not earned through sophistication,...

Risk-Free for Whom?

“Risk-free” is one of those terms that gets used so often in investing that people stop questioning it. Most of the time, the phrase enters the conversation as if its meaning were obvious. The U.S. Treasury yield is treated as the default answer — the base rate for valuation, the anchor for discounting, the starting point for excess return, and, often, the quiet reference point behind liquidity and portfolio construction. For many purposes, that convention is perfectly workable. But for a long-horizon asset owner, it is not always enough. The real question is not whether U.S. Treasuries are high-quality assets. They are. The real question is whether they are actually risk-free for the institution making the decision. That depends on what the capital is for. For an asset owner, “risk-free” cannot be defined only by the absence of default risk. It also has to be understood relative to liabilities, liquidity needs, the payment currency, and the horizon over which obligations must be met. ...

Trust, Complexity, and What Asset Owners Owe Their Beneficiaries

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Reflections from Milan I recently had the opportunity to speak in Milan at a conference that brought together asset owners and industry participants to discuss a world that feels increasingly harder to map in simple terms. What stayed with me most was not a single market view or portfolio call. It was a more basic question, and in some ways a more difficult one: what does it mean to earn the trust of beneficiaries who rely on us completely, while often understanding very little of what we actually do on their behalf? That question feels especially important now. We are operating in a world shaped by geopolitical fragmentation, new centres of capital, more porous boundaries between public and private markets, changing product structures, and the growing influence of data, technology, and artificial intelligence. It is easy to describe this as complexity. But complexity, on its own, is not the point. The real question is how institutions respond to it without losing sight of their man...

Leadership Starts with Motivation

The older I get, the more I think leadership is less about authority and more about motivation. A leader’s job is not just to set direction, make decisions, or evaluate performance. Those things matter, of course. But if the people around you no longer feel motivated to contribute, improve, and stay, then a lot of the rest begins to break down. Motivation has never meant just compensation. Pay matters. Performance-based rewards matter. Fairness matters. But motivation also comes from something more basic: being treated with respect, being seen as an individual, and having a working relationship with your manager that feels human rather than mechanical. Every workplace is, in the end, a human system. People may stay for a while because of prestige, compensation, or obligation. But very few people do their best work for long in an environment where they feel invisible, unfairly treated, or repeatedly drained by the people around them. That is why I think good leadership requires more tha...

Stockholm, Market Timing, and Broadening the Total Portfolio Conversation

Earlier this week, I visited Stockholm to participate in the Nordic Pension Tour. Thank you to Mirjam Guldemond, Sophie Baker, and Pensions & Investments for organizing an excellent program. It was one of those trips that reminds you why these conversations matter. Stockholm itself helped: the weather was beautiful, the city was full of that calm Scandinavian clarity, and even a short visit to the Nobel Prize Museum made it feel like a place where ideas still carry real weight. Before the World Pension Summit, I visited AP3, Alecta, and FTN. Each institution provided a unique perspective on how long-term asset owners think about their investment. At Alecta, I noted the central role of benchmarks. For liability-aware institutions, benchmarks are deeply embedded in the investment process. While this can be helpful, it raises an important question: when does a benchmark clarify the mandate, and when does it begin to replace it? At FTN, together with AP7, we discussed defined contribut...

The Mandate Comes First

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One of the more enduring rewards of this year’s ALTSLA, once again, was the people. The quality of the conferences is usually assessed by the quality of their panels, the relevance of the themes, or the prominence of the speakers. All of that matters. But what stays with me most is usually the less formal part — the conversations between sessions, the chats over coffee, the passing comments that turn into more substantive discussions. For all the attention this industry gives to ideas, it is people who ultimately shape them. That was on my mind as I rode the train from Los Angeles to San Diego after the conference, enjoying the improbably warm weather compared with the East Coast. Over time, ALTSLA has become something of an annual ritual, and the two days of rest that follow it have become part of that rhythm as well — an opportunity to step away from the noise, reflect, and reset. Looking out at the ocean, I found myself returning to a question that strikes me as basic, but not basic...